Trouble with math
From reading other blogs, it does seem bloggers have a habit of overreacting to factual or other errors in newspaper writing. I'd like to avoid that stereotype but there was something that I simply couldn't let slide.
Bartley Kives is one of the better writers at the Free Press. He used to be the guy on the music/entertainment side of things and now does a solid job working the city hall beat, including reporting on some of our esteemed mayor's shadier dealings.
But it seems he has a bit of difficulty with numbers. From an otherwise reasonable article about gas prices and walking, he offers the following analysis:
According to city research conducted in 2005, the average Winnipegger commutes 11.5 kilometres every day. And according to 2006 census data collected by Statistics Canada, that one-way trip takes an average of about 30 minutes.The first paragraph leaves a bit of confusion as to whether we are taking about a 11.5 kilometre trip taking 30 minutes, or a 30 minute commute covering half that distance, but neither set of numbers should produce the highlighted conclusion Kives comes to.
Even though those two statistics were not intended to be taken together, the implication is kind of ugly: We appear to be moving around three kilometres an hour, which suggests a lot of us spend a ridiculous amount of time idling in rush hour.
Try this: 11.5 km / 0.5 hours = 23 kph
Or, at worst: (11.5 km / 2) / 0.5 hours = 11.5 kph.
This would be a rather unimportant error, if he didn't rely entirely upon the result to support the following argument:
Three kph is slower than the average human being saunters, let alone actually walks on the way to work.I'd like to think I'm a big supporter of active modes of transportation, but even I wouldn't argue that walking is faster than driving.
Labels: errata

1 Comments:
It looks like the latter figure is the correct estimate of average speed.
From Manitoba Finance: "The average commuting distance to work in Winnipeg is less than six kilometres." So 11.5 km would be the round-trip distance.
The Statistics Canada data to which Kives refers does not appear to come from the 2006 census, but rather to a report using 2005 data from the General Social Survey on Time Use, which was released in 2006. It says that in the Prairies the average round-trip commuting time is 57 minutes.
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